Early 2016 Grammy Nomination Predictions – October Edition  


 

Kendrick Lamar, To Pimp A Butterfly © Aftermath / Interscope

The Grammy nominations don’t occur until December, but folks are already beginning putting their two cents into who will be nominated when the time arrives. Billboard has already dropped a list of potential nominees, and we did so at the end of August (big categories) and early September (specific categories). So here we go again – another stab at who might be nominated in the bigger categories come December.

The Weeknd, Beauty Behind The Madness © Republic

Record of the Year:

The Weeknd, “Can’t Feel My Face” (Beauty Behind The Madness)

Taylor Swift, “Blank Space” (1989)

Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars, “Uptown Funk!” (Uptown Special)

Wiz Khalifa featuring Charlie Puth, “See You Again” (Furious 7)

Walk The Moon, “Shut Up And Dance” (TALKING IS HARD)

Keeping it real, the ROTY category has become a much bigger deal than AOTY. AOTY always seems to go to the wrong person – save for the year it was awarded rightfully to Adele for 21 – but ROTY seems to be representative of the trends towards songs as opposed to album. This year is loaded as always, and it would seem that any of the aforementioned could win. “Shut Up And Dance” may be the weakest nominee, but doesn’t a rock/alternative record have to be nominated?

Swift hasn’t had much success in this category, so maybe “Blank Space” is her shot. The Weeknd’s Michael Jackson-esque “Can’t Feel My Face” feels like a grand choice, while “See You Again” could be the rare hip-hop record to be victorious. Still, isn’t this an award that is “Uptown Funk’s” to lose?

 Taylor Swift, 1989 © Big Machine Records

Album of the Year:

Kendrick Lamar, To Pimp A Butterfly

Taylor Swift, 1989

D’Angelo & The Vanguard, Black Messiah

The Weeknd, Beauty Behind The Madness

Alabama Shakes, Sound & Color

The AOTY category is top heavy in my humble opinion. The shoe-ins are Kendrick Lamar (To Pimp A Butterfly) and Taylor Swift (1989). The better album of the two is Lamar’s, but Taylor Swift’s 1989 was too huge to ignore. Swift has been in this position recently with Red, which was also big and went home empty-handed.   D’Angelo’s Black Messiah is a better album than 1989, and should be highly considered to be nominated as well as take home the prize. The Weeknd may be something of a long shot, but personally, I see it as the ‘pop’ album in the category. Album five could play spoils as it has many times. Currently that could be Alabama Shakes’ Sound & Color as the rock offering, though Florence + The Machine’s How Big, How Blue, How Beautiful is also a possibility, possibly in place of Beauty Behind The Madness. As said previously, Swift and Lamar are the locks, with D’Angelo a strong contender as well.

 Mark Ronson, Uptown Special © RCA

Song of the Year: 

Taylor Swift, “Blank Space” (1989)

Wiz Khalifa featuring Charlie Puth, “See You Again” (Furious 7)

Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars, “Uptown Funk!” (Uptown Special)

The Weeknd, “Earned It (Fifty Shades of Grey)” (Beauty Behind The Madness)

Sam Hunt, “Take Your Time” (Montevallo) 

SOTY and ROTY have some crossover, but generally, think of the song as being more about a truly well crafted song. Taylor Swift might find herself nominated here once more for “Blank Space,” as might Ronson and Khalifa for their respective ROTY nominees. Similarly, The Weeknd might be nominated as well, arguably for either “Can’t Feel My Face” or “Earned It (Fifty Shades of Grey).” Billboard suggested that “Earned It” might be an alternate nominee in this category, and I tend to think it has a shot. If the Weeknd is potentially recognized in the ‘Big 3’ categories, his throwback R&B ballad certainly deserves love.

Who gets the fifth spot? Good question. Meghan Trainor has already been nominated for her biggest song, “All About That Bass,” so it’s hard to envision her nominated for others not quite as big. Sam Hunt’s “Take Your Time” was a hit, but is it a long shot? Billboard suggests Ed Sheeran’s “Thinking Out Loud” which is a fine choice, but is it eligible or would it be a stretch considering X’s nominations the previous year?

Meghan Trainor, Title © Epic

Best New Artist:

Sam Hunt

Meghan Trainor

George Ezra

Tori Kelly

Fetty Wap  

Best New Artist is a coveted award, but doesn’t necessarily propel success. Many artists have lost this award and been fine or even more successful than the artists who have won. This year, it seems more wide open than usual. That said, could this be a tug of war between Sam Hunt and Meghan Trainor?

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2 comments

  1. I really think that i would end up like this…

    ALBUM OF THE YEAR
    1989- Taylor Swift
    Beauty Behind The Madness- The Weeknd
    To Pimp A Butterfly- Kendrick Lamar
    How Big. How Blue. How Beautiful- Florence & The Machine
    Montevallo- Sam Hunt

    Dark Horses: Uptown Special – Mark Ronson, Title – Meghan Trainor, The Pinkprint – Nicki Minaj, Pageant Material – Kacey Musgraves.

    SONG OF THE YEAR
    Fight Song- Rachel Platten
    Thinking Out Loud- Ed Sheeran
    FourFive Seconds- Rihanna, Kanye West & Paul McCartney
    Blank Space- Tay Tay
    See You Again- Wiz Khalifa & Charlie Puth
    Alright- Kendrick Lamar

  2. I really think that i would end up like this…

    ALBUM OF THE YEAR
    1989- Taylor Swift
    Beauty Behind The Madness- The Weeknd
    To Pimp A Butterfly- Kendrick Lamar
    How Big. How Blue. How Beautiful- Florence & The Machine
    Montevallo- Sam Hunt

    Dark Horses: Uptown Special – Mark Ronson, Title – Meghan Trainor, The Pinkprint – Nicki Minaj, Pageant Material – Kacey Musgraves.

    SONG OF THE YEAR
    Fight Song- Rachel Platten
    Thinking Out Loud- Ed Sheeran
    FourFive Seconds- Rihanna, Kanye West & Paul McCartney
    Blank Space- Tay Tay
    See You Again- Wiz Khalifa & Charlie Puth
    Alright- Kendrick Lamar

    RECORD OF THE YEAR
    Blank Space- Taylor Swift
    UpTown Funk- Bruno Mars & Mark Ronson
    Can’t Feel My Face- The Weeknd
    See You Again- Wiz Khalifa & Charlie Puth
    Lean On- Major Lazer & MØ
    Take Your Time- Sam Hunt

    Dark Horses: Thinking Out Loud- Ed Sheeran, Where Are Ü Know- Jack Ü & Justin Bieber, The Hills- The Weeknd, Hotline Bling- Drake, Want To Want Me- Jason Derulo, Shut Up And Dance- WALK THE MOON

    Best New Artist
    James Bay
    Sam Hunt
    The Weeknd
    Tori Kelly
    Meghan Trainor
    Shawn Mendes

    Dark Horses: Fetty Wap, WALK THE MOON, Fifth Harmony, Hozier, Vance Joy

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